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Thursday, January 03, 2008

...ASAT 2008 mock NFL Draft #1

With the 2007 regular season ending last weekend, the 2008 NFL season has effectively begun for the 20 teams who did not make the playoffs. This includes the coaching carousel, the hiring and firing of front office staff, and preparation for April's NFL Draft.

In my first stab at gauging the 2008 NFL Draft, I have to make a few assumptions. First of all, I am working off of the premise that the Patriots beat the Cowboys in the Super Bowl, who in turn beat the Colts and the Packers, respectively, in the conference title games, and so on based on seeding and tiebreakers, in determining the order of the final few playoff teams. I'm also assuming that the Falcons win the coin-flip over the Raiders for the third pick at the NFL Combine and that there will be no additional trades of picks before the draft (bloody unlikely). For more on tie-breaking procedure, check out the Wikipedia article on the 2008 Draft.

1. Miami Dolphins: Glen Dorsey, DT, LSU
My gut tells me that Parcells will deal this pick to a team eager to grab McFadden or Dorsey so that he can fill in some of the many, many, gaps on the team. If not, though, Long and Pro Bowl DE Jason Taylor could work together to create a fearsome set of bookends on the D-line.


2. St. Louis Rams: Jake Long, OT, Michigan
The Rams have a good quarterback in Mark Bulger and a star RB with Steven Jackson but little in the way of protection for either, especially with the clock ticking on Orlando Pace's career. Long could work wonders for keeping Bulger from being beaten like a red-headed stepchild and possibly put St. Louis back into contention in the weak NFC West.


3. Atlanta Falcons: Matt Ryan, QB, Boston College
In the post-Vick, post-Petrino era, the Falcons need a solid, stable leader at the position who can bring the franchise back from oblivion. Ryan gets the nod over Brohm or Woodson for the poise shown in '07.


4. Oakland Raiders: Chris Long, DE, Virginia
With Justin Fargas showing potential at RB (thereby making McFadden unnecessary) and Al Davis' love of tradition, it would be hard to imagine the Raiders passing on the son of one of their all-time greats, Howie Long, especially considering how gifted of a DE Chris Long has been at UVA.


5. Kansas City Chiefs: Ryan Clady, OT, Boise St.
Brody Coyle is looking promising at QB and Larry Johnson and Kolby Smith seem to be a solid 1-2 punch at RB, so the Chiefs need someone to keep these guys on their feet.


6. New York Jets: Darren McFadden, RB, Arkansas
While I doubt that McFadden will still be on the board at #6, if he is still around, the Jets will surely pick him. Thomas Jones only seems to be solid when he has a O-line like the one back in Chicago, so grabbing a feature back of this caliber would be huge for the Green Slime.


7. New England Patriots (from San Fransisco): James Laurinaitis, ILB, Ohio State Linebacker is one of the few slots where the Pats need some help, and Nagurski Trophy-winner (and son of the Road Warrior's Animal) should fit the bill.


8. Baltimore Ravens: Vernon Gholston, DE, Ohio State
If Terrell Suggs bolts in FA, this will be the most glaring need for the Ravens, save the QB position which will either be filled by Troy Smith or a veteran from another team.


9. Cincinnati Bengals: Sedrick Ellis, DT, USC
Assuming that they don't try to trade up for Dorsey, Ellis will be Plan B for fixing an anemic rush defense.


10. New Orleans Saints: Malcom Jenkins, CB, Ohio State
Did you see the Saints' secondary this season? The saddest lot of players ever on a so-called contender.


11. Buffalo Bills: Mike Jenkins, CB, South Florida
If the Bills had had a better pass defense this year, they would have made a solid run for the 6th seed in the playoffs. This is the one player at the 11 spot who can provide instant results.


12. Denver Broncos: Kenny Phillips, FS, Miami
John Lynch is ancient and Phillips is the real deal.


13. Carolina Panthers: Brian Brohm, QB, Louisville
Jake Delhomme ain't getting any younger, David Carr is a bust, and Matt Moore probably isn't a franchise player, so it would be hard to turn down one of the two great QBs left in the draft at this point. Brohm gets the nod by a hair, as Woodson is still a tad bit raw, but it is almost a coin flip.


14. Chicago Bears: Andre Woodson, QB, Kentucky
Unless Kyle Orton has the faith of the management (Ha!), the Bears are going to have to go quarterback with this pick. Again, either Woodson or Brohm would be fine.


15. Detroit Lions: Derrick Harvey, DE, Florida
Finally, the Lions do not have to use their pick on a receiver. They need a CB, but with both of the Jenkinses out of play, they should go with the next-best talent, being Harvey in this case. That being said, I wouldn't be shocked if they grabbed Kansas' Aqib Talib or Oklahoma's Reggie Smith in this situation or traded the pick up or down.


16. Arizona Cardinals: Keith Rivers, OLB, USC
A better defense would have gotten the Cards into the post season this year, and either Rivers of Dan Connor would go a long way to addressing their concerns. Rivers seems like the better pick, though, based on is speed.


17. Minnesota Vikings: DeSean Jackson, WR, California
The Vikes need a quarterback badly, but I'm guessing that they'll address the need via trade or free agency and snag someone like Delaware's Joe Flacco or Hawaii's Colt Brennan in a later round. They need a big-time receiver to take some the heat off of Adrian Peterson and Jackson is the most explosive deep threat of this year's crop.


18. Houston Texans: Jonathan Stewart, RB, Oregon
The Texans have some solid journeymen at running back right now but no real long-term answer. A back like Stewart could be the missing piece in bringing January football back to Houston.


19. Philadelphia Eagles: Calais Campbell, DE, Miami
Campbell can be the guy that Javon Kearse was supposed to be.


20. Washington Redskins: Dan Connor, OLB, Penn St,
Connor would be a great addition to a linebacker corps that would include London Fletcher and put a hurtin' on opposing offenses.


21. Dallas Cowboys (from Cleveland): Aqib Talib, CB, Kansas
The Dallas defensive backfield is aging and Talib could give them a much-needed shot of youth and speed. Also don't be shocked if they go with Reggie Smith or Arkansas RB Felix Jones with this pick.


22. Tennessee Titans: Limas Sweed, WR, Texas
Believe it or not, Vince Young can throw the football. It just helps if he has someone to catch it. Sweed is a good receiver who played with Young at Texas and should work well with last season's Rookie of the Year.


23. New York Giants: Early Doucet III, WR, LSU
The Jints have several older receivers and Doucet seems to be the best choice of the remaining WRs.


24. Jacksonville Jaguars: James Hardy, WR, Indiana
The Jags need some good receivers to help out David Garrard. Michigan's Mario Manningham would also be a good choice.


25. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Malcom Kelly, WR, Oklahoma
This 6'4" giant is just the sort of possession receiver the Bucs will need when Joey Galloway retires.


26. Seattle Seahawks: Felix Jones, RB, Arkansas
The Seahawks should really start worrying about the prospect that Shaun Alexander's best days are gone and Jones, overshadowed by McFadden at Arkansas, would have a chance to shine in a system built around a back like Alexander.


27. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jeffrey Otah, OT, Pitt
With Ben Roethlisberger being sacked way too much this year and Alan Faneca set to explore free agency, this is just the sort of local meat 'n potatoes pick that would prove popular with the fans and players and give them a leg-up with the Browns in hot pursuit for AFC North supremacy.


28. San Diego Chargers: Rey Maualuga, ILB, USC
The Chargers have some issues on run defense and Maualuga could help plug the hole that Adrian Peterson exploited for 296 yards earlier this season.


29. Green Bay Packers: Reggie Smith, CB, Oklahoma
The starting CBs for the Pack are in their 30s and could probably use a breather from time to time, which Smith could do nicely as he learns the system.


30. San Fransisco 49ers (from Indianapolis): Samuel Baker, OT, USC
Alex Smith needs some protection to avoid ending up as the next David Carr. If Baker is still around at 30, the 9ers will likely snap him up. Even if he has been picked up, look for them to get an OT with this pick.


31. Dallas Cowboys: Mario Manningham, WR, Michigan
Terrell Owens and Terry Glenn are both becoming injury-prone at this point in their careers, as another threat at wide-out would be a great addition for Phillips, Romo, & Co.


32. New England Patriots: Forfeited.

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1 Comments:

Blogger Tapupartforpres said...

Your crazy there is no way Dorsey is going #1. Check out this draft.
The Real NFL Draft

Saturday, April 19, 2008  

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