... A Sour Apple Tree

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Location: Huntington, WV, United States

I'm a 37 year-old guy from Huntington, WV.

Friday, January 25, 2008

Pre-South Carolina/Florida momentum check

Here's how the candidates are ranking in terms of overall momentum going into the SC Democratic Primary and the Florida GOP Primary:

Dems 1) Obama 2) Clinton 3) Edwards

Obama seems set to win in South Carolina, but we can never really tell with polls these days. The whole "Bill the Hatchet Man" thing seems to be backfiring more than it is working for HRC, but we could have yet another case of people polling for the "change" guy but pulling the lever for "experience" when no one is watching. Don't count out Edwards here, either, folks. I don't think that he will win this primary or the nomination, but as long as he racks up 15% of the vote here and in other states, he may indeed may play the roll of the Earl of Warwick at the convention. My guess is that Obama will win, Clinton will finish a mildly-disappointing second, and Edwards will place a strong third.

GOP 1) McCain 2) Huckabee 3) Romney 4) Giuliani 5) Paul

Despite grumbling from the evangelical wing of the party, McCain seems poised to give the GOP its best shot at a win in November. The Huckster has pulled out of Florida to focus on Tsunami Tuesday, where he might gain back some lost momentum by picking up support among some of Freddie's supporters. Romney still has a real shot in FL and at the nom, but he lost some major mo' with the "Well, I'm not concerned about the voters" comment at the most recent debate. What a dumbass. Giuliani is lagging behind in third in FL and must pull off something spectacular to stay in the game. Meanwhile, Paul is just chillin' for the platform and the spot at the top of the Libertarian ticket. My guess is that FL will finish like this: McCain, Romney, Giuliani, Huckabee, Paul.

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Blogger Buzzardbilly said...

But isn't Edwards from one of the Carolinas? You'd think that would count for something.

Friday, January 25, 2008  

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