Huntington/West Virginia Primary Election Preview
HRC's base in the state can probably be broken down into three categories: 1) people who, in good faith, think she would make a better president than Obama and would at least like to see her as VP 2) folks still loyal to the Clinton brand (we are loyal to a fault at times around here) 3) bigots who don't know if it is worse that he is half-black or half-Muslim.
It should be noted that those in the third category are not present in nearly as great of a number as some folks on DailyKos and Huffington Post message boards would have you believe.
Governor: Expect Manchin to rack up a huge victory against a one-term delegate best known for assuming that, if he had a gay employee, all of his other workers would automatically get AIDS.
Supreme Court: Depending on how the race breaks, it wouldn't be a huge shocker for any two of the four Democrats to move on to November.
For Menis Ketchum to win, he will have to hope that his base in the Huntington area goes for him in big numbers and that his folksy commercials won over enough folks outside of the Huntington/Charleston media market who have never heard of his law firm (note: if "the ladies are always right," why not vote for Workman?). Spike Maynard needs for his name recognition and the "fair and balanced" crowd to help in out in the face of overwhelming bad publicity over MonacoGate. Margaret Workman could backdoor the nomination if she cashes in on her name, does well in Charleston, and no one remembers that she quit before her last term on the court was over. Bob Bastress will need a strong anti-Maynard/pro-reform turnout and the support of Obama base to get the nod.
Secretary of State: I'm guessing that Joe DeLong's monetary might will equal a win in this race, where he can keep West Virginia safe for the gaming industry by, um, uhhh, doing whatever the hell this worthless job does.
Attorney General: If the state GOP knows what is good for them (and, after the whole Warner fiasco, I believe that they do not), they will nominate Dan Greear over Hiram Lewis. At this point, Lewis has crossed the "perennial also-ran" line and should quietly return to private life.
Cabell County Sheriff: The Democrats will nominate Tom McComas if they are looking for experience or Scott Bias if name recognition wins the day. Also, don't be surprised if some folks vote for Bias simply to get him off of the County Commission.
Huntington Mayor: If yard signs alone are any indication, Bob Bailey has a good shot at winning the nod over Mayor David Felinton. That being said, Felinton has made a career out of shocking the city and defeating veterans of Huntington's socio-political elite. Bailey has taken the campaign approach of reminding voters that he is, in fact, old and by taking credit for everything good that has ever happened in Cabell County, regardless of his personal involvement in the project. Felinton, on the other hand, has taken a "business as usual" approach where he has focused on day-to-day city operations over active campaigning. My guess is that he is hoping that the two minor candidates bleed enough protest vote away from Bailey while African Americans come out to support Brandi Jones, his consigliere, vicariously through him.